According to a survey jointly released by the Casualty Actuarial Society and the Society of Actuaries, 60% of executive respondents said technology and economic risks will have the greatest impact on their organizations over the next three years or more, with adverse outcomes from artificial intelligence among the risks with the greatest impact.
The survey included 350 C-suite participants, including more than 100 chief risk officers, chief actuaries and other senior thought leaders.
The findings highlight the importance of technological risks associated with AI, its potential for adverse consequences, and the ongoing threat of disruptive technologies. Some form of disruptive technology has ranked among the top three emerging risks every year since the 2023 survey.
“This survey of key decision makers dealing with risk provides insight into their current concerns and the potential challenges these risks pose now and over the long term,” said R. Dale Hall, managing director of SOA Research. “The survey shows that geopolitical and economic issues in 2026 will shift to technology-driven risks three or more years from now. The report also explores the interconnectedness of risks and the potential for risks to shift to other areas.”
Among executive participants, 34% cited economic risks as the risk that will have the greatest impact on their organizations in 2026, while 26% cited geopolitical risks.
Beyond-normal financial volatility is considered the biggest risk in 2026 (25%), followed by geoeconomic and globalization shifts (19%), extreme weather events (14%), and adverse consequences of artificial intelligence and cyber incidents (8% each).
17% of respondents believe economic risks will have the greatest impact in 2026 and the next three years or more.
By risk category, the most common preferred risk combination is two technology risks (14%), followed by economic and environmental risks and economic and technology risks, each accounting for 12%.
Environmental risks, including extreme weather and long-term climate change, remain significant. However, compared to previous years, climate risks are increasingly seen as embedded and manageable rather than an emerging threat.
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